Minnow Street Minnow Street
Buy Day today: Poor Neutral (49) Good Mixed market breadth · no major macro event

The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
86.10 $
Closing price · As of: 20. Jul 2026
🔔 Watch stock
Read the Full Deep Dive
Cheesecake Factory Stock: Record Revenue, Falling Profit — and Growth That No Longer Comes From the Namesake

The Cheesecake Factory rang up more revenue than ever in fiscal year 2025 — $3.75 billion, up 4.7 percent — and still earned less than the year before ($148.4 million in net income, down from $156.8 million). We read the annual reports (10-K) for fiscal years 2024 and 2025 and the quarterly report (10-Q) as of March 31, 2026: the namesake brand now grows only through menu price (core comparable sales up 0.1 percent while 1.9 percent fewer guests walked in), the real pace comes from the small sister brands North Italia and Flower Child, and refinancing a convertible note cost $15.9 million on the bottom line. Not investment advice — just the question of what a familiar sign is worth when the building behind it is under renovation.

Appears in These Scanners

This stock currently matches 23 of our scanner strategies — each hit links to the scanner.

Only genuine hits from verified scanners count; pure ranking metrics (P/E, P/S, and similar, which just sort the whole universe) don't count as a hit. View all scanners

Basics

Market Cap
3.9Mrd. $
Shares Outstanding
50Mio.
Float
91.9%
Beta
1.0

Performance

Perf. 1M
23.50%
Perf. 3M
47.50%
Perf. 6M
55.10%
YTD Performance (%)
54.10%
52-Week-High Distance
-0.8%

Valuation

P/E
23.6
Forward P/E
19.6
PEG
1.6
P/B
8.7
P/S
1.0
EV/EBITDA
19.3
Price/FCF
22.9

Profitability

Gross Margin
40.5%
EBIT Margin
5.8%
Net Margin
4.3%
Return on Equity
41.3%
Return on Assets
4.5%

Balance Sheet & Safety

Equity Ratio
13.9%
Debt/Equity
4.7
Altman Z
4.61
very solid
Piotroski
8 von 9

Growth

Sales Growth Last Quarter
5.60%
EPS Growth Last Quarter
52.20%
Sales Growth (Year)
4.75%
Forward Sales Growth
6.57%
Forward EPS Growth
10.30%

Dividend

Dividend Yield
1.52%
Dividend Per Share (TTM)
1.14$
Payout Ratio
29.5%
Years Without a Cut
3Years
Increase Streak
0Years

Quality & Screener

Stage
2
RS Rating
80
EPS Rating
78
very solid
Piotroski
8 von 9
Fundamental Rating
B (+14 von 100)
Altman Z
4.61

AI Rating

Uses AI

The Cheesecake Factory setzt laut Geschäftsbericht (10-K) für das Geschäftsjahr 2025 KI bislang nur in begrenztem Umfang intern im eigenen Geschäftsbetrieb ein und will die Nutzung traditioneller und generativer KI ausweiten, erzielt aber keine KI-Umsätze — die genannten KI-Bezüge betreffen den eigenen Einsatz und dessen Risiken, nicht eine Bedrohung des Restaurantgeschäfts.

View the full file — quotes, sources, reviewed filings
„Additionally, we have, to a limited extent, incorporated artificial intelligence (“AI”) solutions into our business, and may expand our use of traditional and generative AI solutions in the future."

Darüber hinaus haben wir in begrenztem Umfang Lösungen der künstlichen Intelligenz („KI“) in unser Geschäft integriert und könnten unseren Einsatz von traditioneller und generativer KI künftig ausweiten.

10-K · 2026-02-23 · View SEC filing
„In addition to risks generally applicable to the use of any information technology, AI solutions may be susceptible to a variety of additional risks, which include, without limitation, AI’s use and reliance on large datasets that could be the subject of breaches or misuse, potential liability associated with AI decision making and bias in training data, potential liability for failing to comply with rapidly evolving laws regulating AI, as well as ethical concerns relating to AI and machine learning."

Zusätzlich zu den allgemein für jede Informationstechnologie geltenden Risiken können KI-Lösungen einer Reihe weiterer Risiken ausgesetzt sein, darunter unter anderem die Nutzung und Abhängigkeit von großen Datensätzen, die von Sicherheitsverletzungen oder Missbrauch betroffen sein könnten, mögliche Haftung im Zusammenhang mit KI-gestützten Entscheidungen und Verzerrungen in Trainingsdaten, mögliche Haftung wegen Nichteinhaltung sich rasch entwickelnder KI-Gesetze sowie ethische Bedenken in Bezug auf KI und maschinelles Lernen.

10-K · 2026-02-23 · View SEC filing

Filings Reviewed: 10-Q 2026-05-04 · 10-Q 2025-11-03 · 10-Q 2025-08-04 · 10-Q 2025-05-05 · 10-K 2026-02-23 · 10-K 2025-02-24

Rated on July 17, 2026 · How the Rating Is Built

Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.

Sales Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · 921.0 Mio. $ Q4 2025: Q1 · 927.2 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 955.8 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 907.2 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 961.6 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 978.8 Mio. $ Q1
Earnings Per Share Per Quarter ($)
2024: Q4 · 0.84 $ Q4 2025: Q1 · 0.67 $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 1.14 $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 0.66 $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 0.60 $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 1.02 $ Q1
Net Margin Per Quarter (%)
2024: Q4 · 4.5 % Q4 2025: Q1 · 3.6 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 5.7 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 3.5 % Q3 2025: Q4 · 3.0 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 5.1 % Q1
Operating Cash Flow Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · 94.0 Mio. $ Q4 2025: Q1 · 78.9 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 56.8 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 90.6 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 74.9 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 95.6 Mio. $ Q1
Free Cash Flow Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · 53.9 Mio. $ Q4 2025: Q1 · 36.1 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 15.3 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 53.6 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 50.1 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 52.2 Mio. $ Q1
Sales Growth vs. Year-Ago Quarter (%)
2024: Q4 · 5.0 % Q4 2025: Q1 · 4.0 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 5.7 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 4.8 % Q3 2025: Q4 · 4.4 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 5.6 % Q1
EPS Growth vs. Year-Ago Quarter (%)
2024: Q4 · 222.1 % Q4 2025: Q1 · -2.5 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 6.0 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 7.1 % Q3 2025: Q4 · -29.2 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 53.8 % Q1
Price Change in Quarter (%)
2024: Q4 · 17.7 % Q4 2025: Q1 · 3.1 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 29.4 % Q2 2025: Q3 · -12.4 % Q3 2025: Q4 · -7.1 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 9.0 % Q1

Quarterly Figures

Quarterly Figures
Quarter EPS (Earnings Per Share) EPS YoY (%) Sales ($M) Sales YoY (%) Net Margin (%) OCF ($M) FCF ($M)
2024: Q4 0.84 222.10 921 5.00 4.50 94 54
2025: Q1 0.67 -2.50 927 4.00 3.60 79 36
2025: Q2 1.14 6.00 956 5.70 5.70 57 15
2025: Q3 0.66 7.10 907 4.80 3.50 91 54
2025: Q4 0.60 -29.20 962 4.40 3.00 75 50
2026: Q1 1.02 53.80 979 5.60 5.10 96 52
What Do These Terms Mean?
EPS (Earnings Per Share):
Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
YoY (Year over Year):
Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
Sales:
All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
Net Margin:
What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
FCF (Free Cash Flow):
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.

Assessment: Opportunities & Risks

Revenue steadiness & scale

Three years of rising revenue to a record $3,751.8 million (fiscal year 2025, +4.7 percent), 368 company-owned restaurants plus 35 international licensed locations, income from operations $187.3 million — a steady, profitable chain without boom-bust cyclicality (10-K fiscal year 2025).

Earnings quality

Record revenue, but net income fell from $156.8 million to $148.4 million (diluted EPS $3.06 versus $3.20) — weighed by a $15.9 million loss on a note extinguishment and higher impairments ($23.0 million versus $13.6 million); net margin only 4.0 percent (10-K fiscal year 2025, statement of operations).

Growth engine & core brand

The namesake grows only on price (comparable sales +0.1 percent, menu price +4.3 percent against 1.9 percent fewer guests), while the real pace comes from Flower Child (+27.8 percent) and North Italia (+16.5 percent) — the latter through new locations, where comps fell about 2 percent (10-K fiscal year 2025, MD&A).

Balance sheet & capital structure

$215.7 million of cash against $575.0 million of convertible notes (due 2030) and $1.33 billion of lease liabilities on just $436.4 million of equity (December 30, 2025); the thin layer is partly a result of buybacks, the convertible can dilute later, the 2030 maturity buys calm (10-K fiscal year 2025, balance sheet).

Capital return & latest quarter

$153.9 million of buybacks and $55.2 million of dividends ($1.08 per share) in fiscal year 2025; the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 (13 weeks through March 31, 2026) grew revenue 5.6 percent and net income about 50 percent — without the note-related special item (10-Q as of 03/31/2026).

Bottom Line

The Cheesecake Factory is a company under renovation while it stays open: $3.75 billion of record revenue in fiscal year 2025, but a fallen net income that a debt refinancing dragged down. The mature namesake holds its revenue only on menu price, the growth comes from the small brands North Italia and Flower Child — partly through expensive openings. Balance sheet and valuation are unremarkably average, and the latest quarter was the strongest in a while. Whoever buys here buys a solid, founder-led chain with middling growth at an average price. Not investment advice.

Worth Noting:
  • CAKE reached our research list via the in-house growth scanner "Joshua" (rank 17 of 75, as of July 17, 2026); the hit traces to the strong first quarter of fiscal year 2026 — a growth hit signals acceleration, not a quality verdict.
  • Cheesecake Factory uses a 52/53-week fiscal year (ending the Tuesday closest to December 31); fiscal year 2025 ended December 30, 2025, and comprised 52 weeks. All quarterly references carry that calendar offset.
  • Price and valuation figures are dated to July 17, 2026 (market value roughly $4.1 billion, near the 52-week high); analyses are evergreen, daily prices are not a buy argument. Trailing earnings per share (about $3.54) already include the strong first quarter of fiscal year 2026.

About the Company

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated betreibt und lizenziert Restaurants in den USA und Kanada. Sie betreibt Bäckereien, die Käsekuchen und andere Backwaren für ihre Restaurants, internationale Lizenznehmer, Drittbäckereikunden, externe Gastronomiebetriebe, Einzelhändler und…

Employees48,000
HeadquartersCalabasas, CA
Websitethecheesecakefactory.com
IPO Date17. Sep 1992
Next Earnings4. Aug 2026

Management

Management
Name Title Birth Year
David M. Overton Founder, Chairman & CEO 1946
David M. Gordon President 1965
Matthew Eliot Clark Executive VP & CFO 1970
Scarlett A. May J.D. Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary 1966
Ashley W. Hanscom VP, Principal Accounting Officer & Controller 1978
Etienne Marcus Vice President of Finance & Investor Relations
Cheryl M. Slomann Senior Vice President of Finance & Compliance 1966
Donald Evans Chief Marketing Officer & Senior VP
Dina R. Barmasse-Gray Senior Vice President of Human Resources
Spero G. Alex Executive Vice President of Operations - The Cheesecake Factory Restaurants 1964

Executives per the latest required filings; titles kept in their original language. Source: fundamental data.

Chart

Interactive price chart (TradingView).

Data as of: July 20, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)

Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.

Was this page helpful to you?