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NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

Technology Semiconductors
211.80 $
Closing price · As of: 2. Jul 2026
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Read the Full Deep Dive
Nvidia Stock: $120 Billion in Profit — and More Than Half the Revenue Hangs on Three Customers

Nvidia is the star witness of the AI boom: $215.9 billion in revenue (+65 percent) and $120.1 billion in net income for fiscal year 2026, roughly 90 percent of it from the data center business. We read the mandatory filings to the U.S. securities regulator — and that is where the other half of the story lives: three direct customers who most recently made up 54 percent of revenue, an investment book that doubled to $43.4 billion in a single quarter, $13 billion for a non-refundable license from rival Groq, a China business that export controls have effectively cut to zero, and $119 billion in purchase commitments. Our value scanner based on Joel Greenblatt's Magic Formula lights up anyway. Not investment advice — just a sober walk through a loop in which sellers, customers and financiers increasingly carry the same names.

Basics

Market Cap
4,945.1Mrd. $
Shares Outstanding
Float
Beta

Performance

Perf. 1M
Perf. 3M
Perf. 6M
YTD Performance (%)
7.40%
52-Week-High Distance

Valuation

P/E
Forward P/E
PEG
P/B
P/S
EV/EBITDA
Price/FCF

Profitability

Gross Margin
EBIT Margin
Net Margin
Return on Equity
Return on Assets

Balance Sheet & Safety

Equity Ratio
Debt/Equity
fortress balance sheet
Altman Z
16.40
Piotroski
7 von 9

Growth

Sales Growth Last Quarter
85.20%
EPS Growth Last Quarter
214.50%
Sales Growth (Year)
Forward Sales Growth
Forward EPS Growth

Quality & Screener

Stage
2
RS Rating
62
Top 10%
EPS Rating
91
Piotroski
7 von 9
Fundamental Rating
A (+69 von 100)
fortress balance sheet
Altman Z
16.40

AI Rating

Not yet rated — we only show a category once an SEC-backed file with at least two cited passages is available. How the Rating Is Built

Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.

Sales Per Quarter ($M)
2025: Q1 · 39,331.0 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 44,062.0 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 46,743.0 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 57,006.0 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 68,127.0 Mio. $ Q1 2026: Q2 · 81,615.0 Mio. $ Q2
Earnings Per Share Per Quarter ($)
2025: Q1 · 0.89 $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 0.76 $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 1.08 $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 1.30 $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 1.76 $ Q1 2026: Q2 · 2.39 $ Q2
Net Margin Per Quarter (%)
2025: Q1 · 56.2 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 42.6 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 56.5 % Q3 2025: Q4 · 56.0 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 63.1 % Q1 2026: Q2 · 71.5 % Q2
Operating Cash Flow Per Quarter ($M)
2025: Q1 · 16,629.0 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 27,414.0 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 15,365.0 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 23,751.0 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 36,188.0 Mio. $ Q1 2026: Q2 · 50,344.0 Mio. $ Q2
Free Cash Flow Per Quarter ($M)
2025: Q1 · 15,552.0 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 26,187.0 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 13,470.0 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 22,115.0 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 34,904.0 Mio. $ Q1 2026: Q2 · 48,587.0 Mio. $ Q2
Sales Growth vs. Year-Ago Quarter (%)
2025: Q1 · 77.9 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 69.2 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 55.6 % Q3 2025: Q4 · 62.5 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 73.2 % Q1 2026: Q2 · 85.2 % Q2
EPS Growth vs. Year-Ago Quarter (%)
2025: Q1 · 81.2 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 27.6 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 61.2 % Q3 2025: Q4 · 67.2 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 96.6 % Q1 2026: Q2 · 213.4 % Q2
Price Change in Quarter (%)
2025: Q1 · -19.3 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 45.8 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 18.1 % Q3 2025: Q4 · 0.0 % Q4 2026: Q1 · -6.5 % Q1 2026: Q2 · 14.8 % Q2

Quarterly Figures

Quarterly Figures
Quarter EPS (Earnings Per Share) EPS YoY (%) Sales ($M) Sales YoY (%) Net Margin (%) OCF ($M) FCF ($M)
2025: Q1 0.89 81.20 39,331 77.90 56.20 16,629 15,552
2025: Q2 0.76 27.60 44,062 69.20 42.60 27,414 26,187
2025: Q3 1.08 61.20 46,743 55.60 56.50 15,365 13,470
2025: Q4 1.30 67.20 57,006 62.50 56.00 23,751 22,115
2026: Q1 1.76 96.60 68,127 73.20 63.10 36,188 34,904
2026: Q2 2.39 213.40 81,615 85.20 71.50 50,344 48,587
What Do These Terms Mean?
EPS (Earnings Per Share):
Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
YoY (Year over Year):
Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
Sales:
All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
Net Margin:
What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
FCF (Free Cash Flow):
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.

Assessment: Opportunities & Risks

Market position & product

The de facto standard of AI infrastructure: 90 percent of revenue from the data center business, CUDA software as a developer moat, complete systems instead of single chips; half of data center revenue now comes from customers beyond the hyperscalers (10-K 2026; 10-Q as of April 26, 2026).

Earning power & balance sheet

$215.9 billion in revenue (+65 percent) and $120.1 billion in net income in fiscal year 2026, $102.7 billion in operating cash flow, $62.6 billion in cash/securities against $8.5 billion in notes, Altman-Z about 16 — plus $40.4 billion in buybacks and a dividend raised to $0.25 per quarter in May 2026.

Customer concentration & loop

Three direct customers = 54 percent of quarterly revenue and 64 percent of receivables; at the same time $43.4 billion investment book, $27 billion in committed investments, $13 billion non-refundable Groq license, $30 billion in cloud purchases from its own customers, OpenAI agreement being finalized — and information requests from competition authorities in five jurisdictions (10-K 2026; 10-Q as of April 26, 2026).

Geopolitics & advance-outlay lever

China data center business practically zero ($4.5 billion H20 write-down, $60 million license revenue, Washington's 15 percent expectation, Beijing advising customers against); plus $119 billion in purchase commitments (+$24 billion in one quarter) and $25.8 billion in inventories, whose valuation is a critical audit matter of the auditor (10-K 2026; 10-Q as of April 26, 2026).

Valuation & profit quality

A P/E of about 29 and PEG below 1 are moderate for 65 percent growth (data as of July 8, 2026) — but a P/S of about 19.5 and P/B of about 24 price in sustained perfection, the latest quarterly profit included $15.9 billion in valuation gains on stakes, and insiders reported 16 sells versus 4 buys.

Bottom Line

Nvidia is the rare case in which the most valuable company in the world is at the same time a value scanner hit: 65 percent growth, 56 percent net margin, a fortress balance sheet and a P/E of about 29 — the Magic Formula does find genuinely exceptional quality at a fair price here. Set against this are findings no scanner can price: more than half of revenue comes from three direct customers, the company increasingly takes stakes in its own buyers ($43.4 billion investment book, $27 billion in commitments, OpenAI agreement being finalized), the China business is politically cut to zero, and $119 billion in purchase commitments bet that demand will hold, of which Nvidia's own revenue is the most important proof. Not investment advice.

Worth Noting:
  • Nvidia has an offset fiscal year (ending in late January): "fiscal year 2026" ended on January 25, 2026, "first quarter of 2027" on April 26, 2026 — the periods are dated in the text in each case.
  • The net income of the first quarter of 2027 ($58.3 billion) included $15.9 billion in unrealized valuation gains on securities (among them the Intel stake); the operating result of $53.5 billion is the more reliable measure.
  • Price and valuation figures are dated to July 8, 2026 (about $196 per share, about $4,945 billion market value); analyses are evergreen, daily prices are not a buy argument.
  • The scanner membership was checked twice: data as of July 8, 2026 (seven value/quality scanners) and a live check on July 14, 2026 (Greenblatt confirmed; the rest of the scanner set drifts day to day).
  • Nvidia does not name the three big customers in the mandatory filings; the "AI research and deployment company" with a significant indirect revenue contribution also remains unnamed there.

About the Company

NVIDIA Corporation ist ein Anbieter von KI-Infrastruktur im Rechenzentrumsmaßstab in den USA, Taiwan, China, Hongkong, Europa und international. Das Unternehmen ist in den Segmenten Compute & Networking sowie Graphics tätig.

IPO Year1999
Next Earnings26. Aug 2026

Chart

Data as of: July 2, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)

Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.

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