Minnow Street Minnow Street
Buy Day today: Poor Neutral (49) Good Mixed market breadth · no major macro event

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP)

Real Estate REIT - Residential
28.80 $
Closing price · As of: 20. Jul 2026
🔔 Watch stock
Read the Full Deep Dive
Millrose Stock: A 10 Percent Dividend From Lennar's Land Machine — Which Has No Employees, and Whose Founder Kept the Keys

Millrose Properties stockpiles buildable land for America's homebuilders: the Lennar spin-off of February 2025 buys and develops lots and lets builders take them, finished, against monthly option payments — 143,347 homesites worth $9.2 billion (March 31, 2026). Our FCF/market-cap scanner ranks the stock near the top, the dividend yields roughly 10 percent annualized, and the shares trade below book value (data as of July 8, 2026). We read the first full annual report (10-K) and the quarterly report (10-Q) as of March 31, 2026: a REIT with no employees of its own, an external manager collecting 1.25 percent of total assets, a former parent providing 84 percent of revenue while holding special rights — and a scanner metric that measures the throughput of a machine here, not free money. Not investment advice — just the owner's manual for a dividend where you should know who holds the tap.

Appears in These Scanners

This stock currently matches 8 of our scanner strategies — each hit links to the scanner.

Only genuine hits from verified scanners count; pure ranking metrics (P/E, P/S, and similar, which just sort the whole universe) don't count as a hit. View all scanners

Basics

Market Cap
0.0Mrd. $
Shares Outstanding
154Mio.
Float
99.3%
Beta

Performance

Perf. 1M
9.00%
Perf. 3M
11.50%
Perf. 6M
7.50%
YTD Performance (%)
2.30%
52-Week-High Distance
-17.0%

Valuation

P/E
10.7
Forward P/E
0.0
PEG
P/B
0.9
P/S
EV/EBITDA
11.9
Price/FCF

Profitability

Gross Margin
85.4%
EBIT Margin
85.2%
Net Margin
65.0%
Return on Equity
7.9%
Return on Assets
4.5%

Balance Sheet & Safety

Equity Ratio
61.2%
Debt/Equity
0.4
Altman Z
5.46
very solid
Piotroski
8 von 9

Growth

Sales Growth Last Quarter
0.00%
EPS Growth Last Quarter
Sales Growth (Year)
Forward Sales Growth
6.96%
Forward EPS Growth
4.00%

Dividend

Dividend Yield
10.35%
Dividend Per Share (TTM)
3.01$
Payout Ratio
107.9%
Years Without a Cut
0Years
Increase Streak
0Years

Quality & Screener

Stage
4
RS Rating
38
EPS Rating
50
very solid
Piotroski
8 von 9
Fundamental Rating
B (+22 von 100)
Altman Z
5.46

AI Rating

Neutral

Geprüft am 18.07.2026 gegen die Geschäftsberichte (10-K) für die Geschäftsjahre 2025 (eingereicht 02.03.2026) und 2024 (31.03.2025) sowie die vier jüngsten Quartalsberichte (10-Q): In den ausgewerteten SEC-Filings von Millrose Properties findet sich kein wesentlicher KI-Bezug. Beide 10-K enthalten im Risikoteil (Item 1A) ausschließlich denselben generischen KI-Risikofaktor („Artificial intelligence (‚AI‘) and other machine learning techniques could increase, accelerate, or amplify competitive, operational, legal and regulatory risks to our business in ways that we cannot predict“) — eine Vorlagen-Floskel ohne jeden konkreten Bezug zum eigenen Geschäftsmodell (Land Banking, Homesite-Optionsverträge werden im gesamten Absatz nicht erwähnt). Alle vier 10-Q enthalten null Treffer für „artificial intelligence“, „machine learning“ oder „AI“. Weder KI-Umsatzquelle (nicht „verkauft“) noch dokumentierter operativer KI-Einsatz (nicht „nutzt“) noch ein konkretes, geschäftsmodellspezifisches KI-Risiko (nicht „bedroht“) — nach Kriterienkatalog dokumentierter Negativ-Befund: „neutral“.

View the full file — quotes, sources, reviewed filings

Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.

Sales Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · -348.1 Mio. $ Q4 2025: Q1 · 82.7 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 149.0 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 179.3 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 189.5 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 194.9 Mio. $ Q1
Earnings Per Share Per Quarter ($)
2024: Q4 · -2.71 $ Q4 2025: Q1 · 0.24 $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 0.68 $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 0.63 $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 0.74 $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 0.74 $ Q1
Net Margin Per Quarter (%)
2025: Q1 · 48.1 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 75.7 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 58.6 % Q3 2025: Q4 · 64.5 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 63.0 % Q1
Operating Cash Flow Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · -1,177.4 Mio. $ Q4 2025: Q1 · 21.3 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 109.1 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 123.1 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 3,419.3 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 797.3 Mio. $ Q1
Free Cash Flow Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · -1,177.4 Mio. $ Q4 2025: Q1 · -837.6 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 109.1 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 123.1 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 3,419.3 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 797.3 Mio. $ Q1
Sales Growth vs. Year-Ago Quarter (%)
2025: Q2 · -33.6 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 44.9 % Q3 2026: Q1 · 135.7 % Q1
EPS Growth vs. Year-Ago Quarter (%)
2025: Q2 · -61.2 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 260.1 % Q3 2026: Q1 · 208.7 % Q1
Price Change in Quarter (%)
2025: Q2 · 9.2 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 20.8 % Q3 2025: Q4 · -9.1 % Q4 2026: Q1 · -3.8 % Q1

Quarterly Figures

Quarterly Figures
Quarter EPS (Earnings Per Share) EPS YoY (%) Sales ($M) Sales YoY (%) Net Margin (%) OCF ($M) FCF ($M)
2024: Q4 -2.71 -348 -1,177 -1,177
2025: Q1 0.24 83 48.10 21 -838
2025: Q2 0.68 -61.20 149 -33.60 75.70 109 109
2025: Q3 0.63 260.10 179 44.90 58.60 123 123
2025: Q4 0.74 190 64.50 3,419 3,419
2026: Q1 0.74 208.70 195 135.70 63.00 797 797
What Do These Terms Mean?
EPS (Earnings Per Share):
Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
YoY (Year over Year):
Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
Sales:
All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
Net Margin:
What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
FCF (Free Cash Flow):
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.

Assessment: Opportunities & Risks

Business model & start

The largest listed land-banking platform in the U.S. (143,347 homesites, $9.2 billion, 30 states) with predictable option fees earning a weighted 9.2 percent return; profitable from the February 7, 2025 spin-off onward — $404.8 million of net income and $427.9 million of AFFO in the 2025 stub year (10-K 2025).

Scanner metric FCF/market cap

The top rank (15th, as of July 18, 2026) is a mismeasurement of the business model: the $3.67 billion of operating cash flow (2025) contains the homesite sales while the purchases ($5.72 billion) sit in investing cash flow; unrestricted cash as of 03/31/2026: $49.3 million (10-K 2025, 10-Q Q1 2026).

Dividend & valuation

Five raises in a row to $0.76 per quarter (annualized roughly a 10 percent yield) at 0.85 times book and 10 to 11 times earnings (data as of July 8, 2026) — but 2025 paid out $2.55 per share, more than was earned ($2.44), and the spin-off book values were never independently appraised (10-K 2025, Item 1A).

Customer concentration & founder rights

84 percent of 2025 revenue (Q1 2026: 72 percent) from Lennar, which after the November 2025 exchange offer holds barely any shares yet keeps capital priority, the most-favored-pricing clause, the manager veto and an approval right over debt beyond 1:1; 51 percent of the lots in three states (10-K 2025).

External management

No employees of its own; the management fee of 1.25 percent of Tangible Assets ($87.8 million in 2025, $28.2 million in Q1 2026) rewards balance-sheet growth over earnings per share; the relationship is "contractual, not fiduciary" per the 10-K, termination without cause only against a fee and with Lennar approving the successor (10-K 2025, Items 1/1A).

Financing & buffers

Moderate leverage of roughly 0.42 times equity ($2.46 billion of debt, maturities 2030/2032) and $960.3 million of non-refundable builder deposits as a cushion — but only $49.3 million of unrestricted cash against a quarterly dividend of roughly $126 million, and the model hangs on builders exercising their options (10-Q Q1 2026, 10-K 2025).

Bottom Line

MRP is not a cash-flow miracle but a young land-banking REIT with an honest price tag: at a capital-recycling machine the FCF/market-cap scanner metric measures throughput, not free money — what is real is a roughly 10 percent dividend yield below book value and a predictable fee model earning 9.2 percent on capital, set against a 72-to-84-percent Lennar lump, an external manager paid on total assets, founder rights without founder capital, and book values without an independent appraisal. Whoever buys the stock buys the construction — not the coupon. Not investment advice.

Worth Noting:
  • MRP made the research list via rank 15 in our in-house FCF/market-cap scanner (as of July 18, 2026; scanner data as of July 8, 2026) — the analysis deliberately shows why this metric is no buy signal for capital-recycling models such as land banks (analogous to banks and loan-book companies).
  • REIT particularity: what matters for payout capacity is net income, AFFO and the return on invested capital — not operating cash flow, which at Millrose contains the proceeds from homesite sales while the land purchases sit in investing cash flow.
  • Price and valuation figures dated July 8, 2026 (about $29.90 per share, roughly $5.0 billion market cap); analyses are evergreen, daily prices are not a buy argument.

About the Company

Millrose Properties, Inc. ist die führende Plattform für Baugrundstücksoptionen für Wohnungsbauunternehmen.

HeadquartersMiami, FL
Websitemillroseproperties.com
IPO Date7. Feb 2025
Next Earnings30. Jul 2026

Management

Management
Name Title Birth Year
Darren Lewis Richman CEO & President 1972
Garett Rosenblum CFO & Treasurer 1974
Robert Nitkin Chief Operating Officer 1988
Adil Pasha Chief Technology Officer 1993
Rachel Jade Presa General Counsel & Secretary 1980

Executives per the latest required filings; titles kept in their original language. Source: fundamental data.

Chart

Interactive price chart (TradingView).

Data as of: July 20, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)

Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.

Was this page helpful to you?