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Buy Day today: Poor Neutral (49) Good Mixed market breadth · no major macro event

Millicom International Cellular SA (TIGO)

Communication Services Telecom Services
97.40 $
Closing price · As of: 20. Jul 2026
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Read the Full Deep Dive
Millicom Stock: A Genuine Turnaround — and a Record Profit That Is Half Borrowed

Millicom runs across eleven Latin American countries as Tigo and has fought its way back from a debt-laden problem child: operating profit (EBITDA) up 11.4 percent to $2,749 million, a record cash inflow of $916 million, leverage pushed down to 2.31x, and the dividend it scrapped in 2023 back on the table. The company surfaced in our in-house Joshua growth scanner (data as of July 17, 2026). We read the annual report (20-F) for 2025 and the latest interim reports (6-K): the record net profit of $1.3 billion includes roughly $727 million of one-off gain from selling the cell towers, nearly a third of operating profit hangs on a single country, and one man holds the voting majority. Not investment advice — just the question of how much of a comeback is real and how much is bookkeeping.

Appears in These Scanners

This stock currently matches 21 of our scanner strategies — each hit links to the scanner.

Only genuine hits from verified scanners count; pure ranking metrics (P/E, P/S, and similar, which just sort the whole universe) don't count as a hit. Scanners marked in red are red-flag signals (risk/short scanners) — appearing there is not a seal of approval. View all scanners

Basics

Market Cap
14.8Mrd. $
Shares Outstanding
168Mio.
Float
53.3%
Beta
0.9

Performance

Perf. 1M
10.10%
Perf. 3M
25.60%
Perf. 6M
77.50%
YTD Performance (%)
64.90%
52-Week-High Distance
-6.6%

Valuation

P/E
12.1
Forward P/E
19.4
PEG
0.7
P/B
4.8
P/S
2.3
EV/EBITDA
7.2
Price/FCF
10.7

Profitability

Gross Margin
77.1%
EBIT Margin
21.8%
Net Margin
19.1%
Return on Equity
37.4%
Return on Assets
5.8%

Balance Sheet & Safety

Equity Ratio
15.1%
Debt/Equity
3.7
Altman Z
3.95
Piotroski
4 von 9

Growth

Sales Growth Last Quarter
45.10%
EPS Growth Last Quarter
-43.00%
Sales Growth (Year)
0.26%
Forward Sales Growth
2.63%
Forward EPS Growth
25.20%

Dividend

Dividend Yield
3.20%
Dividend Per Share (TTM)
5.50$
Payout Ratio
146.4%
Years Without a Cut
0Years
Increase Streak
0Years

Quality & Screener

Stage
2
Top 10%
RS Rating
91
EPS Rating
17
Piotroski
4 von 9
Fundamental Rating
B (+23 von 100)
Altman Z
3.95

AI Rating

Neutral

Geprüft am 17.07.2026 gegen den Jahresbericht (20-F) für das Geschäftsjahr 2025 (eingereicht 24.03.2026) sowie die jüngsten Zwischenmeldungen (6-K, Q1 2026 und Gesamtjahr 2025). Millicom (Tigo) ist ein lateinamerikanischer Telekomkonzern, der als ausländischer Emittent per 20-F/6-K statt per 10-K/10-Q meldet. In den ausgewerteten Filings findet sich kein wesentlicher KI-Bezug: KI ist weder Umsatzquelle noch dokumentierter operativer Kernprozess. „Artificial intelligence“ erscheint im 20-F 2025 nur zweimal — einmal als generisches Technologie-Anpassungsrisiko der Branche („increasingly dependent on the ability of operators to adapt to the changing technological landscape, including artificial intelligence and machine learning“) und einmal als Datensicherheits-/Cybersecurity-Erwägung beim internen Einsatz externer KI-Werkzeuge („While AI technologies can enhance efficiency, they also present potential risks of inadvertent disclosure of confidential information …“). Beides sind keine belastbaren Belege für „verkauft“, „nutzt“ (kein konkret beschriebener operativer KI-Einsatz mit Effizienz- oder Produktwirkung) oder „bedroht“ (die Adaptions-Formulierung ist branchen-generisch und nicht konkret aufs eigene Geschäftsmodell bezogen; Boilerplate zählt nach Kriterienkatalog nicht). Nach der Vorrang-Regel bleibt es damit bei „neutral“ — dokumentierter Negativ-Befund.

View the full file — quotes, sources, reviewed filings
„Success in the industry is increasingly dependent on the ability of operators to adapt to the changing technological landscape, including artificial intelligence and machine learning."

Der Erfolg in der Branche hängt zunehmend von der Fähigkeit der Betreiber ab, sich an die sich wandelnde technologische Landschaft anzupassen, einschließlich Künstlicher Intelligenz und maschinellen Lernens.

20-F · 2026-03-24 · View SEC filing
„While AI technologies can enhance efficiency, they also present potential risks of inadvertent disclosure of confidential information if sensitive data is input into external AI platforms."

Zwar können KI-Technologien die Effizienz steigern, doch bergen sie auch das Risiko einer unbeabsichtigten Offenlegung vertraulicher Informationen, wenn sensible Daten in externe KI-Plattformen eingegeben werden.

20-F · 2026-03-24 · View SEC filing

Filings Reviewed: 20-F 2026-03-24 · 20-F 2025-04-08 · 6-K 2026-05-14 · 6-K 2026-02-26

Rated on July 17, 2026 · How the Rating Is Built

Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.

Sales Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · 1,428.0 Mio. $ Q4 2025: Q1 · 1,374.0 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 1,372.0 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 1,420.0 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 1,652.0 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 1,985.0 Mio. $ Q1
Earnings Per Share Per Quarter ($)
2024: Q4 · 0.18 $ Q4 2025: Q1 · 1.14 $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 4.03 $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 1.16 $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 1.50 $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 0.65 $ Q1
Net Margin Per Quarter (%)
2024: Q4 · 2.2 % Q4 2025: Q1 · 14.0 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 49.3 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 13.7 % Q3 2025: Q4 · 15.3 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 5.5 % Q1
Operating Cash Flow Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · 454.0 Mio. $ Q4 2025: Q1 · 364.0 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 494.9 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 507.2 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 477.0 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 618.0 Mio. $ Q1
Free Cash Flow Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · 286.0 Mio. $ Q4 2025: Q1 · 232.0 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 310.1 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 338.6 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 291.0 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 449.0 Mio. $ Q1
Sales Growth vs. Year-Ago Quarter (%)
2024: Q4 · -3.2 % Q4 2025: Q1 · -7.6 % Q1 2025: Q2 · -5.9 % Q2 2025: Q3 · -0.8 % Q3 2025: Q4 · 15.7 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 44.5 % Q1
EPS Growth vs. Year-Ago Quarter (%)
2025: Q1 · 112.6 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 793.9 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 292.7 % Q3 2025: Q4 · 735.7 % Q4 2026: Q1 · -42.7 % Q1
Price Change in Quarter (%)
2024: Q4 · -7.8 % Q4 2025: Q1 · 26.0 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 27.2 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 32.1 % Q3 2025: Q4 · 19.1 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 37.2 % Q1

Quarterly Figures

Quarterly Figures
Quarter EPS (Earnings Per Share) EPS YoY (%) Sales ($M) Sales YoY (%) Net Margin (%) OCF ($M) FCF ($M)
2024: Q4 0.18 1,428 -3.20 2.20 454 286
2025: Q1 1.14 112.60 1,374 -7.60 14.00 364 232
2025: Q2 4.03 793.90 1,372 -5.90 49.30 495 310
2025: Q3 1.16 292.70 1,420 -0.80 13.70 507 339
2025: Q4 1.50 735.70 1,652 15.70 15.30 477 291
2026: Q1 0.65 -42.70 1,985 44.50 5.50 618 449
What Do These Terms Mean?
EPS (Earnings Per Share):
Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
YoY (Year over Year):
Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
Sales:
All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
Net Margin:
What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
FCF (Free Cash Flow):
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.

Assessment: Opportunities & Risks

Operating turnaround & balance sheet

Operating profit (EBITDA) 2025 up 11.4 percent to $2,749 million at about a 47 percent margin, a record equity free cash flow of $916 million, leverage cut to 2.31x, and the dividend restored after the 2023 blank (2025: $5.50 per share in total). Operationally the turn is real and documented (annual report 20-F 2025).

Earnings quality & the one-off

The record net profit of $1,316 million (EPS $7.86) includes, per the full-year release, roughly $727 million of one-off gain from the tower sale ("Sale of Lati Operations" at $741 million in the income statement); underlying, roughly $589 million remains and earnings per share of about $3.50. Anyone valuing the stock on the $7.86 basis is treating a sale price as a permanent profit.

Country concentration

Guatemala alone carries about 26 percent of revenue and, at $928 million, about 29 percent of segment EBITDA, and with Colombia roughly 48 percent — the annual report names the Guatemala dependence as a risk factor itself ("highly dependent on our operations in Guatemala"). Unlike a customer lump, a country lump cannot be replaced.

Ownership & governance

Atlas Investissement (Xavier Niel / Iliad orbit) holds 42.2 percent of the voting shares and four of eight directors (12/31/2025); the report lists Niel's influence as a risk factor. It cuts both ways: disciplined capital allocation and expansion opportunities via the Niel universe (NJJ, Chile) stand against a potential conflict of interest to the detriment of the free float.

Growth & emerging-market risk

The revenue jump is bought: Q1 2026 up 45 percent reported but only 4.2 percent organic (acquisitions in Colombia/Uruguay/Ecuador); quarterly profit fell 43.4 percent to $109 million, and leverage rose again to 2.76x. Add structural currency risk: the boliviano lost its convertibility in 2025 (Bolivia revenue down 41.9 percent), costs in U.S. dollars, revenue in local currencies; political risks in Colombia and Nicaragua.

Bottom Line

Millicom has delivered a genuine operating turnaround: operating profit and cash flow at records, leverage cut to 2.31x, dividend back. But the reported record net profit of $1,316 million is half a one-off from the tower sale — underlying closer to $589 million — nearly a third of operating profit hangs on Guatemala alone, the latest revenue growth is bought rather than grown, and with 42.2 percent of the voting shares a single anchor shareholder effectively decides the company. Whoever invests here buys a decently restructured Latin American network operator with concentration and control risk — not the record profit machine of the headline. Not investment advice.

Worth Noting:
  • TIGO reached our research list via the in-house Joshua growth scanner (data as of July 17, 2026, 75 hits in total); growth scanners capture the acceleration of the numbers, not their origin — at Millicom the 2025 profit jump came half from a one-off sale and the Q1 2026 revenue gain mostly from acquisitions.
  • As a foreign private issuer, Millicom files on annual report 20-F and interim report 6-K (not 10-K/10-Q); the fiscal year ends December 31, with IFRS accounting in U.S. dollars. The 2021 figures are not directly comparable with later years because Guatemala was only fully consolidated at the end of 2021.
  • Metrics and valuation anchors are dated to the 2025/Q1 2026 reports or the July 17, 2026 screener cut-off; a daily price is deliberately omitted (analyses are evergreen). The $25.75 reference price comes from the 2024 Atlas takeover offer and is not a current price.

About the Company

Millicom International Cellular S.A.

Employees14,250
HeadquartersLuxembourg, Luxembourg
Websitemillicom.com
IPO Date28. Feb 1994
Next Earnings6. Aug 2026

Management

Management
Name Title Birth Year
Marcelo Benitez Chief Executive Officer
Bart Vanhaeren Chief Financial Officer
Guillaume Duhaze Chief Technology & Information Officer
Luca Pfeifer Vice President of Investor Relations
Salvador Escalon J.D. Executive VP and Chief Legal & Compliance Officer 1975
Sofia Corral Director of Corporate Communications
Karim Lesina Executive VP & Chief External Affairs Officer 1975

Executives per the latest required filings; titles kept in their original language. Source: fundamental data.

Chart

Interactive price chart (TradingView).

Data as of: July 20, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)

Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.

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