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Buy Day today: Poor Neutral (49) Good Mixed market breadth · no major macro event

HF Sinclair Corp (DINO)

Energy Oil & Gas Refining & Marketi
90.40 $
Closing price · As of: 20. Jul 2026
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Read the Full Deep Dive
HF Sinclair Stock: When a Cyclical Lights Up the Value Filter and the Momentum Filter at Once

HF Sinclair (NYSE: DINO), the U.S. refiner from the HollyFrontier-Sinclair merger, shows up in our "Joshua" growth scanner — and, at the same time, in a dozen value and trend filters (data as of July 17, 2026). We read the annual reports (10-K) for fiscal years 2024 and 2025: net income that crashed from $2.9 billion (2022) to $177 million (2024) and climbed back to $579 million (2025), a renewables segment with a negative gross margin in every year — and a stock whose price-to-earnings ratio looks lowest exactly when the danger is highest. Not investment advice — just the question of which single point on a sine wave you are mistaking for a trend line.

Appears in These Scanners

This stock currently matches 12 of our scanner strategies — each hit links to the scanner.

Only genuine hits from verified scanners count; pure ranking metrics (P/E, P/S, and similar, which just sort the whole universe) don't count as a hit. View all scanners

Basics

Market Cap
12.2Mrd. $
Shares Outstanding
180Mio.
Float
93.2%
Beta
0.7

Performance

Perf. 1M
3.70%
Perf. 3M
11.90%
Perf. 6M
55.40%
YTD Performance (%)
44.90%
52-Week-High Distance
-9.3%

Valuation

P/E
10.3
Forward P/E
9.2
PEG
1.1
P/B
1.3
P/S
0.4
EV/EBITDA
5.6
Price/FCF
10.4

Profitability

Gross Margin
11.1%
EBIT Margin
11.9%
Net Margin
4.5%
Return on Equity
13.0%
Return on Assets
6.1%

Balance Sheet & Safety

Equity Ratio
53.2%
Debt/Equity
0.5
fortress balance sheet
Altman Z
7.21
Piotroski
7 von 9

Growth

Sales Growth Last Quarter
11.80%
EPS Growth Last Quarter
38.90%
Sales Growth (Year)
-5.99%
Forward Sales Growth
-8.43%
Forward EPS Growth
-18.40%

Dividend

Dividend Yield
2.76%
Dividend Per Share (TTM)
2.00$
Payout Ratio
33.2%
Years Without a Cut
4Years
Increase Streak
0Years

Quality & Screener

Stage
2
RS Rating
75
EPS Rating
74
Piotroski
7 von 9
Fundamental Rating
B (+11 von 100)
fortress balance sheet
Altman Z
7.21

AI Rating

Neutral

HF Sinclair ist ein Erdölraffineriekonzern (Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties, Midstream). In den ausgewerteten SEC-Berichten findet sich kein wesentlicher KI-Bezug: keine KI-Produkte oder -Dienste als Umsatzquelle, kein dokumentierter operativer KI-Einsatz und keine konkrete KI-Bedrohung des Geschäftsmodells. Die einzige KI-Erwähnung im 10-K für das Geschäftsjahr 2025 ist eine Boilerplate-Cybersecurity-Risikofloskel („Emerging artificial intelligence … technologies may improve or expand the capabilities of malicious third parties …“) ohne konkreten Bezug zum eigenen Geschäftsmodell — nach Kriterienkatalog kein „bedroht“-Beleg. Dokumentierter Negativ-Befund → neutral.

View the full file — quotes, sources, reviewed filings
„Emerging artificial intelligence (“AI”) technologies may improve or expand the capabilities of malicious third parties in a way we cannot predict at this time…"

Aufkommende Technologien der künstlichen Intelligenz („KI“) könnten die Fähigkeiten böswilliger Dritter auf eine Weise verbessern oder erweitern, die wir derzeit nicht vorhersehen können …

10-K · 2026-02-27 · View SEC filing

Filings Reviewed: 10-Q 2026-05-01 · 10-Q 2025-10-30 · 10-Q 2025-07-31 · 10-Q 2025-05-01 · 10-K 2026-02-27 · 10-K 2025-02-20

Rated on July 17, 2026 · How the Rating Is Built

Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.

Sales Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · 6,499.9 Mio. $ Q4 2025: Q1 · 6,370.0 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 6,784.0 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 7,251.0 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 6,464.0 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 7,123.0 Mio. $ Q1
Earnings Per Share Per Quarter ($)
2024: Q4 · -1.11 $ Q4 2025: Q1 · -0.02 $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 1.10 $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 2.16 $ Q3 2025: Q4 · -0.15 $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 3.59 $ Q1
Net Margin Per Quarter (%)
2024: Q4 · -3.3 % Q4 2025: Q1 · -0.1 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 3.1 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 5.6 % Q3 2025: Q4 · -0.4 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 9.1 % Q1
Operating Cash Flow Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · -140.4 Mio. $ Q4 2025: Q1 · -89.0 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 587.0 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 809.0 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 8.0 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 457.0 Mio. $ Q1
Free Cash Flow Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · -313.5 Mio. $ Q4 2025: Q1 · -175.0 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 476.0 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 930.0 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · -587.0 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 355.0 Mio. $ Q1
Sales Growth vs. Year-Ago Quarter (%)
2024: Q4 · -15.1 % Q4 2025: Q1 · -9.4 % Q1 2025: Q2 · -13.5 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 0.6 % Q3 2025: Q4 · -0.6 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 11.8 % Q1
EPS Growth vs. Year-Ago Quarter (%)
2025: Q1 · -101.3 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 39.4 % Q2
Price Change in Quarter (%)
2024: Q4 · -20.4 % Q4 2025: Q1 · -4.7 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 26.6 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 28.8 % Q3 2025: Q4 · -11.2 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 36.8 % Q1

Quarterly Figures

Quarterly Figures
Quarter EPS (Earnings Per Share) EPS YoY (%) Sales ($M) Sales YoY (%) Net Margin (%) OCF ($M) FCF ($M)
2024: Q4 -1.11 6,500 -15.10 -3.30 -140 -314
2025: Q1 -0.02 -101.30 6,370 -9.40 -0.10 -89 -175
2025: Q2 1.10 39.40 6,784 -13.50 3.10 587 476
2025: Q3 2.16 7,251 0.60 5.60 809 930
2025: Q4 -0.15 6,464 -0.60 -0.40 8 -587
2026: Q1 3.59 7,123 11.80 9.10 457 355
What Do These Terms Mean?
EPS (Earnings Per Share):
Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
YoY (Year over Year):
Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
Sales:
All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
Net Margin:
What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
FCF (Free Cash Flow):
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.

Assessment: Opportunities & Risks

Earning power & cash

A cash machine in good years: $2.9 billion of net income in 2022, $1.3 billion of operating cash flow even in the mediocre year 2025, Q1 2026 already above the entire prior year at $3.56 per share (10-K FY 2025, 10-Q as of 03/31/2026).

Cyclicality & margin dependence

The profit is a margin that belongs to no one: EPS from $14.28 through $0.91 to $3.08 (2022–2025), Refining operating income in a $167 million loss in 2024. A low P/E is often a warning sign here, not evidence of a bargain (10-K FY 2025, Item 1A).

Renewables segment

The green business of the future burns cash: a negative gross margin in fiscal years 2023, 2024 and 2025 (down to minus $129 million), a $133 million operating loss in 2025 — and the supporting funding programs are being curtailed by the OBBBA law, per the 10-K.

Diversification & balance sheet

Quiet anchors against the refining cycle: Midstream (pipelines) earned a steady $363 million of operating income in 2025, plus profitable lubricants and the growing Sinclair brand; a solid balance sheet with $978 million in cash, roughly $3.0 billion of liquidity and $9.2 billion of equity (12/31/2025).

Valuation & capital returns

Optically cheap on revenue (P/S ~0.4) and book value (P/B ~1.3), dividend stable at $2.00 per share since 2024 — but buybacks shrank with the profit from $1.37 billion (2022) to $354 million (2025); the "cheap plus buyback" story carries least in the low-margin year (data as of July 17, 2026).

Bottom Line

HF Sinclair is a soundly run, broadly diversified U.S. refiner with a quiet pipeline anchor (Midstream $363 million of operating income in 2025) and an honest balance sheet — but its profit is a refining margin that belongs to no one and swung from $14.28 through $0.91 to $3.08 per share (2022–2025). The green Renewables segment posts a negative gross margin every year, and a price-to-earnings ratio around 10 is ambiguous on a cyclical: a bargain at the bottom, a trap at the top. Whoever invests here buys not plannable earning power but a point on a sine wave. Not investment advice.

Worth Noting:
  • DINO reached our research list via the "Joshua" growth scanner (as of July 17, 2026); the confluence with eleven more scanners — including several value filters (Tobias Carlisle, O'Shaughnessy) and trend filters (Stan Weinstein stage 2) — is typical for a cyclical at the turn and is not double proof, but the same one twice.
  • Scanner metrics (P/E, P/S, P/B) are computed from trailing or expected figures; on a cyclical the reported P/E depends massively on which year sits in the denominator — which is why the order of magnitude matters more than the decimal place.
  • Price and valuation figures are dated to July 17, 2026 (market value roughly $11 billion); analyses are evergreen, daily prices are not a buy argument. HF Sinclair's fiscal year ends December 31; identity and history (merger 03/14/2022, no former names) verified via EDGAR submissions.

About the Company

HF Sinclair Corporation ist ein unabhängiges Energieunternehmen in den USA. Es ist in fünf Segmenten tätig: Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties und Midstream.

Employees5,165
HeadquartersDallas, TX
Websitehfsinclair.com
IPO Date17. Mar 1992
Next Earnings28. Jul 2026

Management

Management
Name Title Birth Year
Franklin Myers J.D. CEO & President and Chairman of the Board 1953
Valeria Pompa Executive Vice President of Operations 1969
Eric L. Nitcher Executive VP & General Counsel 1963
Steven C. Ledbetter Executive Vice President of Commercial 1976
Vivek Garg Acting CFO, Chief Accounting Officer, VP & Controller 1975
Craig Biery Vice President of Investor Relations
Dale Kunneman Senior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer
Jerry P. Miller Senior Vice President of Commercial
Matt Joyce Senior Vice President of Lubricants & Specialties
John Wayne Harrison Jr. VP of Finance & Strategy and Treasurer 1979

Executives per the latest required filings; titles kept in their original language. Source: fundamental data.

Chart

Interactive price chart (TradingView).

Data as of: July 20, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)

Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.

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