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Buy Day today: Neutral (53) Mixed market breadth · no major macro event

Hertz Global Holdings Inc (HTZ)

Industrials Rental & Leasing Services
1.60 $
Closing price · As of: 31. Jul 2026
🔔 Watch stock

symbol.quality_heading

Substance risk

We found at least one documented issue that threatens the company itself — regardless of how the stock is currently valued.

Whoever buys today bets that the operating turnaround holds even without the used-car tailwind, that the $17 billion debt load and the 8% PIK interest meter do not devour the recovery before it reaches the shareholder, and that a negative, still-falling equity turns back into real substance rather than diluting through new shares. Whoever waits checks four lines in every quarterly report (10-Q): the equity deficit (last −$786 million), the direction of fleet depreciation, the interest burden and the shares outstanding. With negative equity, $17 billion in debt and expensive PIK notes, the drop is long — the decision is yours.

symbol.quality_note

Read the Full Deep Dive
Hertz Stock: The Operations Are Turning, the Balance Sheet Is Tipping — A Turnaround Built on Negative Equity

Hertz is back — the brand many remember from the 2021 Reddit frenzy, when a bankrupt car rental company suddenly became a stock-market legend. In 2025 the net loss shrank from $2.9 billion to $747 million, and the business is visibly recovering. Yet half the progress comes from normalized fleet depreciation, not from operations — and equity has gone negative: from plus $153 million (end of 2024) to minus $786 million (March 31, 2026), against $17 billion in debt. On Reddit the stock is a quiet topic again with 5 mentions in 24 hours (ApeWisdom, as of July 23, 2026). We read the annual reports (10-K) and the quarterly report (10-Q). Not investment advice — just the sober question of what a famous name is worth when the balance sheet has a hole in it.

Read the analysis

Stock Watch

This analysis is as of July 23, 2026. Stock Watch will tell you what's changed at HTZ since then.

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Appears in These Scanners

This stock currently matches 7 of our scanner strategies — each hit links to the scanner.

Only genuine hits from verified scanners count; pure ranking metrics (P/E, P/S, and similar, which just sort the whole universe) don't count as a hit. Scanners marked in red are red-flag signals (risk/short scanners) — appearing there is not a seal of approval. View all scanners

Basics

Market Cap
0.5$B
Shares Outstanding
316Mio.
Float
40.9%
Beta
2.2

Performance

Perf. 1M
-62.50%
Perf. 3M
-73.10%
Perf. 6M
-64.20%
YTD Performance (%)
-62.45%
52-Week-High Distance
-75.6%

Valuation

P/E
Forward P/E
11.8
PEG
P/B
0.5
P/S
0.1
EV/EBITDA
7.9
Price/FCF

Profitability

Gross Margin
15.7%
EBIT Margin
-4.1%
Net Margin
-7.3%
Return on Equity
-567.0%
Return on Assets
0.5%

Balance Sheet & Safety

very low
Equity Ratio
-2.1%
Debt/Equity
warning zone
Altman Z″
0.06
Piotroski
4 out of 9

Growth

Sales Growth Last Quarter
10.50%
EPS Growth Last Quarter
-30.90%
Sales Growth (Year)
-6.02%
Forward Sales Growth
-68.77%
Forward EPS Growth
62.90%

Quality & Screener

Stage
4
RS Rating
35
EPS Rating
20
Piotroski
4 out of 9
Fundamental Rating
C (52 out of 100)
warning zone
Altman Z″
0.06

AI Rating

Neutral

Autovermieter ohne KI-Umsatz: Die ausgewerteten Filings nennen KI nur als konditionale „may use/may incorporate“-Absicht und als Boilerplate-Risiko, ohne belegten operativen KI-Einsatz und ohne KI-Umsatzquelle.

View the full file — quotes, sources, reviewed filings
„We may incorporate AI solutions into our business, and we may leverage AI, including generative AI, into our business operations."

Wir könnten KI-Lösungen in unser Geschäft integrieren und KI, einschließlich generativer KI, in unseren Geschäftsbetrieb einbinden.

10-K · 2026-02-26 · View SEC filing
„there are significant risks in using AI, and there can be no assurance that the use of AI will enhance our business or be beneficial to our business operations, including our efficiency or our profitability."

Der Einsatz von KI birgt erhebliche Risiken, und es kann nicht zugesichert werden, dass der Einsatz von KI unser Geschäft verbessert oder unserem Geschäftsbetrieb – einschließlich Effizienz oder Profitabilität – zugutekommt.

10-K · 2026-02-26 · View SEC filing

Filings Reviewed: 10-K 2026-02-26 · 10-Q 2026-05-08 · 10-K 2025-02-18

Rated on July 23, 2026 · How the Rating Is Built

Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.

Sales Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q2 · 2,353.0 $M Q2 2024: Q3 · 2,576.0 $M Q3 2024: Q4 · 2,040.0 $M Q4 2025: Q1 · 1,813.0 $M Q1 2025: Q2 · 2,185.0 $M Q2 2025: Q3 · 2,478.0 $M Q3 2025: Q4 · 2,028.0 $M Q4 2026: Q1 · 2,004.0 $M Q1
Earnings Per Share Per Quarter ($)
2024: Q2 · -1.44 $ Q2 2024: Q3 · -4.34 $ Q3 2024: Q4 · -1.56 $ Q4 2025: Q1 · -1.12 $ Q1 2025: Q2 · -0.34 $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 0.12 $ Q3 2025: Q4 · -0.63 $ Q4 2026: Q1 · -0.72 $ Q1
Net Margin Per Quarter (%)
2024: Q2 · -36.8 % Q2 2024: Q3 · -51.7 % Q3 2024: Q4 · -23.5 % Q4 2025: Q1 · -24.4 % Q1 2025: Q2 · -13.5 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 7.4 % Q3 2025: Q4 · -9.6 % Q4 2026: Q1 · -16.6 % Q1
Operating Cash Flow Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q2 · 546.0 $M Q2 2024: Q3 · 894.0 $M Q3 2024: Q4 · 414.0 $M Q4 2025: Q1 · 251.0 $M Q1 2025: Q2 · 346.0 $M Q2 2025: Q3 · 835.0 $M Q3 2025: Q4 · 193.0 $M Q4 2026: Q1 · 20.0 $M Q1
Free Cash Flow Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q2 · -3,203.0 $M Q2 2024: Q3 · 395.0 $M Q3 2024: Q4 · 82.0 $M Q4 2025: Q1 · -2,618.0 $M Q1 2025: Q2 · -2,725.0 $M Q2 2025: Q3 · 626.0 $M Q3 2025: Q4 · -2,218.0 $M Q4 2026: Q1 · -3,611.0 $M Q1
Sales Growth vs. Year-Ago Quarter (%)
2024: Q2 · -3.4 % Q2 2024: Q3 · -4.7 % Q3 2024: Q4 · -6.6 % Q4 2025: Q1 · -12.8 % Q1 2025: Q2 · -7.1 % Q2 2025: Q3 · -3.8 % Q3 2025: Q4 · -0.6 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 10.5 % Q1
EPS Growth vs. Year-Ago Quarter (%)
2024: Q2 · -300.0 % Q2 2024: Q3 · -720.0 % Q3 2024: Q4 · -14.7 % Q4 2025: Q1 · 12.5 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 76.4 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 102.8 % Q3 2025: Q4 · 59.6 % Q4 2026: Q1 · 35.7 % Q1
Price Change in Quarter (%)
2024: Q4 · 10.9 % Q4 2025: Q1 · 7.7 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 73.4 % Q2 2025: Q3 · -0.4 % Q3 2025: Q4 · -24.4 % Q4 2026: Q1 · -10.3 % Q1

Quarterly Figures

Quarterly Figures
Quarter EPS (Earnings Per Share) EPS YoY (%) Sales ($M) Sales YoY (%) Net Margin (%) OCF ($M) FCF ($M)
2024: Q2 -1.44 -300.00 2,353 -3.40 -36.80 546 -3,203
2024: Q3 -4.34 -720.00 2,576 -4.70 -51.70 894 395
2024: Q4 -1.56 -14.70 2,040 -6.60 -23.50 414 82
2025: Q1 -1.12 12.50 1,813 -12.80 -24.40 251 -2,618
2025: Q2 -0.34 76.40 2,185 -7.10 -13.50 346 -2,725
2025: Q3 0.12 102.80 2,478 -3.80 7.40 835 626
2025: Q4 -0.63 59.60 2,028 -0.60 -9.60 193 -2,218
2026: Q1 -0.72 35.70 2,004 10.50 -16.60 20 -3,611
What Do These Terms Mean?
EPS (Earnings Per Share):
Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
YoY (Year over Year):
Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
Sales:
All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
Net Margin:
What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
FCF (Free Cash Flow):
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.

Assessment: Opportunities & Risks

Operating turnaround

The direction is right: net loss narrowed from −$2,862 million (2024) to −$747 million (2025), adjusted corporate EBITDA from −$1,541 million to −$339 million, and Q1 2026 with +10.5 percent revenue and a further narrower loss. The "Back-to-Basics" program is directionally working.

Earnings quality

Half the progress is accounting: fleet depreciation fell by $1.7 billion to $1,927 million (2024: $3,611 million), and the $1,048 million special impairment from 2024 dropped out — both explain the lion's share of the earnings improvement before a single car was rented more often. A used-car price cycle, not a model leap.

Balance sheet & equity

Equity is negative and falling: +$153 million (end of 2024) → −$459 million (end of 2025) → −$786 million (March 31, 2026), against $3,249 million in accumulated losses. The substance erodes as long as losses exceed fresh capital — the most honest single number in the analysis.

Leverage & interest burden

$17,054 million in total debt (vehicle $11,629 + non-vehicle $5,425), including expensive 8.000% second-lien PIK exchangeable notes due 2029, whose interest grows in new notes. The $1,077 million interest expense (2025) exceeded the entire reduction in the net loss — the recovery must first clock the interest meter.

Dilution & volatility

The share count rose from 306.7 to 315.1 million (March 31, 2026), the PIK notes are additionally exchangeable into shares, and the 2021 Reddit meme past makes the price prone to attention-driven, fundamentally unwarranted swings.

Bottom Line

Hertz is the phoenix trap in pure form: a world-famous brand that already rose from bankruptcy once, with a real operating turnaround (net loss from −$2,862 million to −$747 million, adjusted corporate EBITDA from −$1,541 million to −$339 million, Q1 2026 revenue +10.5 percent) — but with a balance sheet that tips in the middle of that very turnaround: equity slid from +$153 million to −$786 million, debt stands at $17 billion including 8% PIK notes, the $1,077 million interest burden eats half the progress, and the halved loss comes half from normalized fleet depreciation. Whoever invests buys a leveraged bet on a resale and restructuring cycle — carried by a familiar story, not by balance-sheet substance. Not investment advice.

Worth Noting:
  • Hertz reached the research list via the Reddit hype scanner (5 mentions in 24 hours, ApeWisdom, as of July 23, 2026) — an echo of the 2021 meme legend, not a fundamental signal. The real test comes from the SEC filings.
  • Important for classification: today's listed entity (CIK 0001657853) is the new company after the 2021 emergence, not the old entity that went bankrupt in 2020. Old "Hertz" price histories can show an extinguished stock.
  • The number basis is evergreen: revenue, earnings, equity and debt as of fiscal year 2025 (ended December 31, 2025) resp. March 31, 2026; no daily prices. The net loss refers to Hertz Global Holdings; the operating subsidiary The Hertz Corporation reports slightly different figures (partly due to the public warrants at the holding level).

About the Company

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. operates as a vehicle rental company. It operates through two segments: Americas RAC and International RAC. The company offers vehicle rental services under the Hertz, Dollar, and Thrifty brands from company-operated, licensee, and franchisee locations in the United States, Africa, Asia, Australia, Canada, the Caribbean, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and New Zealand. It also sells vehicles and value-added services. The company was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Estero, Florida.

Employees26,000
HeadquartersEstero, FL
Websitehertz.com
IPO Date1. Jul 2021
Next Earnings6. Aug 2026

Management

Management
Name Title Birth Year
Wayne Gilbert West CEO & Director 1961
Scott M. Haralson Executive VP & CFO 1973
Michael S. Moore COO & EVP 1966
Christopher G. Berg Executive VP & Chief Administrative Officer 1979
Sandeep Dube Executive VP & Chief Commercial Officer 1976
Mark Kosman Senior VP & Chief Accounting Officer 1965
Piero Bussani EVP, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary 1965
Lauren Fritts Senior VP & Chief Communications Officer 1983
Jyoti Chopra Executive Vice President & Chief Human Resources Officer 1964
Gregory A. May Executive Vice President of Fleet Management

Executives per the latest required filings; titles kept in their original language. Source: fundamental data.

Chart

Interactive price chart (TradingView).

Data as of: July 31, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)

Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.

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