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Arcus Biosciences Inc (RCUS)

Healthcare Biotechnology
28.30 $
Closing price · As of: 2. Jul 2026
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Arcus Biosciences: Why a Stock-Market Star With a Billion in the Bank Sits in the Insolvency Warning Scanner

Arcus builds drugs meant to teach the immune system to recognize cancer cells again — and the stock is a market darling: up 234 percent in a year, close to its 52-week high. Yet it blinks in our warning scanner "Going Concern (Distress-Proxy)". We read the annual report (10-K) for 2025 and the quarterly report (10-Q) as of March 31, 2026: not a cent of product revenue, $1.5 billion in accumulated losses — but also about $1.0 billion in cash, no doubt from the auditor about the company's survival, and in Gilead a billion-dollar partner that owns a quarter of the firm. Not investment advice — just an honest look in the till behind the red warning light.

Basics

Market Cap
3.8Mrd. $
Shares Outstanding
Float
Beta

Performance

Perf. 1M
Perf. 3M
Perf. 6M
YTD Performance (%)
18.30%
52-Week-High Distance

Valuation

P/E
Forward P/E
PEG
P/B
P/S
EV/EBITDA
Price/FCF

Profitability

Gross Margin
EBIT Margin
Net Margin
Return on Equity
Return on Assets

Balance Sheet & Safety

Equity Ratio
Debt/Equity
warning zone
Altman Z
1.03
weak
Piotroski
0 von 9

Growth

Sales Growth Last Quarter
-39.30%
EPS Growth Last Quarter
0.00%
Sales Growth (Year)
Forward Sales Growth
Forward EPS Growth

Quality & Screener

Stage
2
Top 10%
RS Rating
93
EPS Rating
42
weak
Piotroski
0 von 9
Fundamental Rating
D (-33 von 100)
warning zone
Altman Z
1.03

AI Rating

Not yet rated — we only show a category once an SEC-backed file with at least two cited passages is available. How the Rating Is Built

Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.

Sales Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · 26.0 Mio. $ Q4 2025: Q1 · 28.0 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · 160.0 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · 26.0 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · 33.0 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · 17.0 Mio. $ Q1
Earnings Per Share Per Quarter ($)
2024: Q4 · -1.03 $ Q4 2025: Q1 · -1.14 $ Q1 2025: Q2 · -0.08 $ Q2 2025: Q3 · -1.27 $ Q3 2025: Q4 · -0.91 $ Q4 2026: Q1 · -1.02 $ Q1
Net Margin Per Quarter (%)
2024: Q4 · -361.5 % Q4 2025: Q1 · -400.0 % Q1 2025: Q2 · -5.0 % Q2 2025: Q3 · -519.2 % Q3 2025: Q4 · -297.0 % Q4 2026: Q1 · -752.9 % Q1
Operating Cash Flow Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · -100.0 Mio. $ Q4 2025: Q1 · -132.0 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · -133.0 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · -97.0 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · -120.0 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · -138.0 Mio. $ Q1
Free Cash Flow Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · -101.0 Mio. $ Q4 2025: Q1 · -133.0 Mio. $ Q1 2025: Q2 · -133.0 Mio. $ Q2 2025: Q3 · -97.0 Mio. $ Q3 2025: Q4 · -121.0 Mio. $ Q4 2026: Q1 · -138.0 Mio. $ Q1
Sales Growth vs. Year-Ago Quarter (%)
2024: Q4 · -16.1 % Q4 2025: Q1 · -80.7 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 310.3 % Q2 2025: Q3 · -45.8 % Q3 2025: Q4 · 26.9 % Q4 2026: Q1 · -39.3 % Q1
Price Change in Quarter (%)
2024: Q4 · -2.6 % Q4 2025: Q1 · -47.3 % Q1 2025: Q2 · 3.7 % Q2 2025: Q3 · 67.1 % Q3 2025: Q4 · 75.2 % Q4 2026: Q1 · -9.4 % Q1

Quarterly Figures

Quarterly Figures
Quarter EPS (Earnings Per Share) EPS YoY (%) Sales ($M) Sales YoY (%) Net Margin (%) OCF ($M) FCF ($M)
2024: Q4 -1.03 26 -16.10 -361.50 -100 -101
2025: Q1 -1.14 28 -80.70 -400.00 -132 -133
2025: Q2 -0.08 160 310.30 -5.00 -133 -133
2025: Q3 -1.27 26 -45.80 -519.20 -97 -97
2025: Q4 -0.91 33 26.90 -297.00 -120 -121
2026: Q1 -1.02 17 -39.30 -752.90 -138 -138
What Do These Terms Mean?
EPS (Earnings Per Share):
Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
YoY (Year over Year):
Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
Sales:
All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
Net Margin:
What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
FCF (Free Cash Flow):
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.

Assessment: Opportunities & Risks

Financing & liquidity

About $1.0 billion in cash and securities (December 31, 2025), runway per the annual report into at least the second half of 2028, no going-concern qualification, low debt (debt-to-equity about 0.2), positive equity. For a clinical biotech, a comfortable starting position.

Earnings & cash burn

No product revenue, net loss $353 million (2025), accumulated deficit $1.5 billion, operating cash outflow risen to a record $482 million. Fundamental rating D, Piotroski 0 of 9, Altman Z around 1.03 — precisely what triggers the distress proxy.

Partner Gilead

Gilead Sciences holds about 25.1 percent, appoints three board members and supplies almost all revenue through collaboration and option payments ($214 of $247 million in 2025). Backbone and cluster risk in one: if Gilead passes on a program, money and experience are missing — and the market reads that as a warning signal.

Pipeline & clinical risk

Broad pipeline with lead compound casdatifan (HIF-2-alpha, renal cell cancer, peak-sales opportunity per the 10-K of more than $2 billion), domvanalimab (TIGIT, Phase 3 lung cancer), zimberelimab and quemliclustat. The value hangs on binary trial results (including PEAK-1, STAR-121) that no one can predict with certainty.

Market & momentum

Intact uptrend (Stage 2), RS rating 93, only 3.8 percent below the 52-week high, plus 234 percent over twelve months, about 72 percent institutional ownership (data as of July 8, 2026). A clear momentum vote — that likewise hangs on the next trial data.

Bottom Line

Arcus is the teaching case for why a warning-scanner hit is not the same as a restructuring case. The "Going Concern (Distress-Proxy)" triggers because the company earns no profit and burns cash — for a clinical biotech without product revenue the normal state. Behind it, however, stand about $1.0 billion in cash, no going-concern qualification, little debt and, in Gilead, a billion-dollar partner that holds a quarter. The real risk lies not in the balance sheet, but in the clinic and in the dependence on this one partner. Not investment advice.

Worth Noting:
  • The "revenue" of Arcus consists almost entirely of collaboration and option payments (above all from Gilead, plus the partner Taiho) and therefore fluctuates with contract milestones, not with product demand — Arcus has no approved product.
  • The scanner hit "Going Concern (Distress-Proxy)" is by definition a quantitative approximation and not an auditor qualification; the auditor did not cast doubt on the survival of Arcus.
  • Price, valuation and scanner figures are dated to July 8, 2026 (about $30, about $3.8 billion in market value); analyses are evergreen, daily prices are not a buy argument.

About the Company

Arcus Biosciences, Inc., ein biopharmazeutisches Unternehmen im klinischen Stadium, entwickelt und vermarktet Krebstherapien in den USA.

IPO Year2018
Next Earnings5. Aug 2026

Chart

Data as of: July 2, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)

Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.

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